5th district final 2 weeks

Tammy Lee is in position to win, you need to look no further then the Republican blog arguments suggesting Alan Fine has a chance to know that Tammy Lee has a real chance. Ultimately it is still about how Keith Ellison does, as of course if he gets above 50% no hope remains for the opposition. Several factors are working towards that end. Alan Fines baseless attacks on Ellison should shave a handful of % from Ellison's eventual total, but more importantly Keith Ellison's lack of legal responsibility the last few years has not yet become a critical issue in this campaign. We saw this week that members of Martin Sabo's staff are publicly stating they can not support Ellison, as he is unfit to replace Martin Sabo. I think Ellison can and will be knocked down below 45%, how much farther who knows, but at 45% it gives Republicans the opportunity to vote against Ellison and in effect fire Ellison from the office he has yet to win, and has never earned. If Ellison finishes election night under 42% Tammy Lee will be our next congresswomen, and right now that is a very realistic scenario.

Expect one or two suprises in the final two weeks, and on election night as the Democrats are sweeping the swing districts, watch the national media focus in on what should be one of the safest districts in the country for Democrats.